I have noticed when my teams has a lower chance of winning (<50%), we win, but if we have a high chance of winning (>50%), we lose. Could just be some “off” games. But then I get this 59% chance of winning, the highest I can recall ever seeing… and we get completely stomped. It ends up being some peak diamonds vs peak GM and even a C3. The other team has a higher win rate and better avg K/D, but somehow the chance of winning favors my team. It just seems backwards.
I’ve noticed this as well. I’ve seen 99% chance to win and get absolutely stomped on but then 1% and we decimate the other team.